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Red22
37411.3
80512.0
Blue32
63312.8
99818.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2335060801001201402232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
805
Unranked
12.00.2
12.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
998
Unranked
18.10.2
19.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
374
Unranked
11.30.2
12.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
633
Unranked
12.80.2
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End