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Red40
95314.9
95912.1
Blue15
9606.8
9577.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252204060801004015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
953
Unranked
14.91.4
13.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
957
Unranked
7.71.4
10.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
959
Unranked
12.11.4
10.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
960
Unranked
6.81.4
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End