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Red50
95411.8
3839.7
Blue39
49213.6
95016.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14330204060801005039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
954
Unranked
11.81.4
12.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
950
Unranked
16.61.4
14.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
9.71.4
5.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
492
Unranked
13.61.4
14.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End