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Red30
48811.8
47310.3
Blue37
649.5
9489.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030403037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
Unranked
11.80.2
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
948
Unranked
9.92.7
9.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
Unranked
10.31.4
10.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
64
Unranked
9.50.6
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End