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Red32
94913.9
82413.8
Blue11
6289.9
44311.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312104060801003211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
949
Unranked
13.90.9
14.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
443
Unranked
11.70.9
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
824
Unranked
13.80.9
14.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
628
Unranked
9.90.9
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End