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Red40
15914.1
80512.0
Blue21
5689.5
3609.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281804060804021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
14.10.7
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
360
Unranked
9.50.8
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
805
Unranked
12.00.8
13.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
568
Unranked
9.50.7
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End