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Red44
95016.6
47310.3
Blue35
69112.1
49213.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26265101520303540454435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
950
Unranked
16.60.5
15.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
492
Unranked
13.60.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
473
Unranked
10.30.5
10.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
691
Unranked
12.10.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End