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Red11
3839.7
83314.9
Blue15
15914.1
47310.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202704060801001201401601115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
833
Unranked
14.90.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
159
Unranked
14.10.0
14.314.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
9.70.0
7.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
473
Unranked
10.30.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End