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Red11
11140.2
6531.5
Blue26
4731.7
54736.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72670501001501126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
40.20.2
40.440.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
547
Unranked
36.30.2
36.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65
Unranked
31.50.2
31.731.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
47
Unranked
31.70.2
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End