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Red78
55712.9
25026.5
Blue8
40538.4
7717.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32630204080100120140160788

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
26.54.6
22.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
405
Unranked
38.45.9
44.338.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
557
Unranked
12.96.3
9.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
771
Unranked
7.05.5
18.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End