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Red65
28125.9
55712.9
Blue84
22624.6
30640.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38650501001506584

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
306
Unranked
40.20.3
40.640.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
557
Unranked
12.90.3
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
226
Unranked
24.60.3
24.924.6
Auto
Teleop
End