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Red36
14735.0
114024.6
Blue63
115825.0
4731.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655202040801001201403663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147
Unranked
35.01.9
41.339.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
47
Unranked
31.71.5
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1140
Unranked
24.61.5
23.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1158
Unranked
25.01.9
27.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End