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Red85
86828.4
108836.0
Blue6
8518.8
11532.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602404080100120140856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1088
Unranked
36.02.2
35.737.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
85
Unranked
18.81.6
17.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
28.41.6
24.025.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
1153
Unranked
2.81.8
6.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End