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Red26
34218.7
47617.8
Blue36
16818.6
36523.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060801001201401602636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
Unranked
18.70.1
17.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
365
Unranked
23.50.1
29.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
Unranked
17.80.1
21.321.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
168
Unranked
18.60.1
16.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End