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Red150
25026.5
22232.1
Blue20
9035.7
55712.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55240408010012014016015020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
32.13.7
28.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
557
Unranked
12.95.8
15.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
26.54.1
26.830.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
903
Unranked
5.73.7
8.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End