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Red32
6531.5
19017.2
Blue25
16818.6
40538.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455020801001201403225

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
31.50.7
33.734.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
405
Unranked
38.40.9
39.238.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
17.20.7
10.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
168
Unranked
18.60.7
16.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End