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Red80
34218.7
50731.3
Blue45
43328.3
55712.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801001208045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
507
Unranked
31.31.0
30.431.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
433
Unranked
28.31.0
27.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
342
Unranked
18.70.9
17.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
557
Unranked
12.91.3
10.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End