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Red18
98024.3
25026.5
Blue76
13414.6
7529.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552802040801001201401876

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
26.53.2
30.927.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
75
Unranked
29.83.2
18.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
Unranked
24.33.2
24.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
134
Unranked
14.63.2
9.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End