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Red8
85419.3
81520.3
Blue39
8518.8
47617.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29370206080100120140160839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
Unranked
20.31.5
10.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
85
Unranked
18.80.9
17.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
Unranked
19.31.3
18.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
476
Unranked
17.81.3
20.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End