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Red60
34218.7
16818.6
Blue45
64721.6
69216.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34410501001506045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
Unranked
18.70.8
18.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
647
Unranked
21.60.8
20.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
168
Unranked
18.60.8
15.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
692
Unranked
16.80.8
20.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End