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Red49
33518.5
96730.6
Blue69
7717.0
95320.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5937020801001204969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
Unranked
30.61.8
32.130.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
953
Unranked
20.51.6
22.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
Unranked
18.51.6
27.225.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
771
Unranked
7.01.8
14.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End