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Red113
46941.3
110828.4
Blue52
8518.8
14735.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7256020408010012014016011352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
41.31.7
41.042.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
147
Unranked
35.01.7
36.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1108
Unranked
28.41.7
30.732.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
85
Unranked
18.81.7
19.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End