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Red29
36523.5
50731.3
Blue44
21113.5
22232.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5940020801001201402944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
507
Unranked
31.31.3
32.331.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
222
Unranked
32.11.3
29.931.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
Unranked
23.51.3
27.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
211
Unranked
13.51.3
10.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End