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Red16
29413.3
20725.3
Blue17
5726.7
36210.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383501002003004005006007008001617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
Unranked
25.30.2
23.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
57
Unranked
26.70.2
24.524.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
294
Unranked
13.30.2
14.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
362
Unranked
10.40.2
10.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End