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Red52
19224.3
62415.5
Blue13
29413.3
33026.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413301001502005213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
24.31.9
19.521.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
330
Unranked
26.31.9
18.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
Unranked
15.51.9
21.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
294
Unranked
13.31.9
14.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End