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Red9
8027.1
98919.6
Blue10
5726.7
98726.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45490206080100120140910

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80
Unranked
27.10.2
22.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
57
Unranked
26.70.2
31.931.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
989
Unranked
19.60.2
22.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
987
Unranked
26.60.2
17.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End