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Red90
49815.8
89813.8
Blue102
643.0
69828.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292205010015020090102

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
Unranked
15.81.2
19.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
698
Unranked
28.31.2
23.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
898
Unranked
13.81.2
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
64
Unranked
3.01.2
-1.5-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End