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Red43
98036.6
6069.7
Blue16
5726.7
11505.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403401002003004005006004316

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
36.61.1
35.536.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
57
Unranked
26.71.1
28.427.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
606
Unranked
9.71.1
4.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1150
Unranked
5.31.1
5.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End