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Red59
23435.3
122320.5
Blue24
9905.9
33026.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493201001502005924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
Unranked
35.30.7
32.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
330
Unranked
26.31.0
27.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1223
Unranked
20.51.0
16.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
990
Unranked
5.91.0
4.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End