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Red6
11505.3
46016.0
Blue61
9905.9
23435.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243806080100120661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
460
Unranked
16.01.9
16.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
234
Unranked
35.31.5
34.435.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1150
Unranked
5.31.9
7.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
990
Unranked
5.91.9
4.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End