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Red80
69629.8
29423.2
Blue32
36210.1
89815.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52260204060801001208032

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
Unranked
29.80.3
28.829.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
898
Unranked
15.80.3
16.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
294
Unranked
23.20.3
23.023.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
362
Unranked
10.10.3
10.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End