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Red9
113517.3
58531.8
Blue51
11509.7
89815.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402406080100120140160951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
31.83.6
24.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
898
Unranked
15.82.2
16.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1135
Unranked
17.33.6
15.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1150
Unranked
9.72.2
7.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End