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Red52
981-1.3
5803.1
Blue4
11258.4
11381.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229020406080100120140160524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
Unranked
3.14.1
16.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1125
Unranked
8.44.1
18.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
981
Unranked
-1.32.4
-4.0-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1138
Unranked
1.24.1
10.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End