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Red4
107018.4
89815.8
Blue41
69714.0
69629.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38370206080441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
Unranked
18.42.2
18.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
696
Unranked
29.81.3
30.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
898
Unranked
15.81.3
18.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
697
Unranked
14.02.2
8.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End