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Red100
107018.4
113517.3
Blue54
86112.9
59713.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836020608010010054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1070
Unranked
18.43.0
15.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
597
Unranked
13.33.0
22.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1135
Unranked
17.33.0
20.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
861
Unranked
12.93.0
15.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End