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Red150
646.4
58531.8
Blue33
478-0.8
5762.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2818040608010012014015033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
31.86.7
24.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.2
576
Unranked
2.66.7
14.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
64
Unranked
6.44.0
3.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
478
Unranked
-0.86.7
3.9-2.8
Auto
Teleop
End