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Red109
11509.7
116015.1
Blue45
11101.1
113517.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233705010015020010945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
Unranked
15.14.9
14.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1135
Unranked
17.34.9
23.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1150
Unranked
9.72.9
8.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1110
Unranked
1.14.9
13.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End