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Red2
99210.8
29423.2
Blue45
8678.1
11057.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4260206080100120245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
Unranked
23.23.0
25.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
867
Unranked
8.14.9
3.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
992
Unranked
10.84.9
15.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1105
Unranked
7.64.9
2.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End