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Red35
78235.3
23630.0
Blue6
71626.7
87020.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63490204080100120140160356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
35.30.2
34.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
716
Unranked
26.70.2
27.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
30.00.2
28.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
870
Unranked
20.70.2
21.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End