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Red8
17527.4
17715.0
Blue54
105923.3
9626.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43480206080100854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
27.40.5
27.426.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
96
Unranked
26.20.6
25.526.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
15.00.7
15.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
1059
Unranked
23.30.6
22.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End