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Red65
22822.1
71626.7
Blue6
3817.5
20912.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32390206080100120140160656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
26.74.2
20.124.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
38
Unranked
17.54.2
26.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
22.14.2
11.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
209
Unranked
12.44.2
13.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End