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Red65
57124.1
23013.4
Blue52
90510.5
18116.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35350102030405060706552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
24.10.7
21.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
181
Unranked
16.00.7
13.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
230
Unranked
13.40.7
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
905
Unranked
10.50.7
20.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End