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Red30
17339.7
110012.2
Blue24
5217.0
23630.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493701001502003024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
39.70.4
29.929.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
236
Unranked
30.00.2
26.626.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
12.20.4
19.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
521
Unranked
7.00.4
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End