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Red39
29621.0
17715.0
Blue41
6636.7
23013.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3525060801001201401603941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
Unranked
21.00.5
24.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
230
Unranked
13.40.8
15.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
15.00.8
11.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
663
Unranked
6.70.8
9.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End