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Red9
71626.7
22924.0
Blue57
87020.7
17634.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45520206080100120957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
26.72.6
28.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
176
Unranked
34.11.5
32.834.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
24.02.6
17.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
870
Unranked
20.72.6
19.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End