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Red40
28719.5
10719.8
Blue34
17339.7
83916.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455020801001201404034

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
19.50.6
20.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.2
173
Unranked
39.71.1
32.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1071
Unranked
9.81.1
23.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
839
Unranked
16.81.1
22.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End