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Red59
16635.8
29621.0
Blue16
23630.0
80911.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5840020801001201401605916

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
35.80.9
33.934.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
236
Unranked
30.00.9
27.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
Unranked
21.00.9
23.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
809
Unranked
11.41.6
12.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End