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Red8
558-6.0
25022.2
Blue92
28719.5
3817.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31370206080100120140160892

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
22.24.9
17.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
287
Unranked
19.53.6
15.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
-6.04.9
13.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
38
Unranked
17.54.9
21.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End