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Red9
71626.7
22822.1
Blue56
17527.4
28719.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4546102030405060708090956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
26.73.0
29.226.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
175
Unranked
27.41.8
25.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
22.13.0
16.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
287
Unranked
19.51.8
19.421.2
Auto
Teleop
End