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Red41
9996.7
15730.3
Blue36
19519.1
29621.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364202060801004136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
30.30.4
24.024.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
296
Unranked
21.00.4
23.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
6.70.6
12.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
195
Unranked
19.10.6
18.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End